Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: El Jennati M. (Mar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pavel Kotov		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.59	1.54
	2.59	1.55
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.32)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
37.6%

Flavio Cobolli
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cobolli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cobolli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Marrakech
01.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Elliot Benchetrit	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
21.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Marrakech
02.04.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Cameron Norrie - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Flavio Cobolli - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	1:3
ATP Challenger
02.12.21	Flavio Cobolli - Pavel Kotov	2:1
23.08.21	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	1:2

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