Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TROISDORF (GERMANY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	Pavel Kotov		Ivan Gakhov

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.62	2.28
	1.68	2.31
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.59	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.46)	2.23 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
57.5%

Ivan Gakhov
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavel Kotov's form might have worsened.

Ivan Gakhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ivan Gakhov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ivan Gakhov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Pavel Kotov - Ivan Gakhov Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Gakhov will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gakhov: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
02.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
30.05.23	Pavel Kotov - Joris De Loore	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Pavel Kotov - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Oscar Otte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL
- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Challenger
02.06.23	Ivan Gakhov - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Lukas Klein - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
30.05.23	Ivan Gakhov - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
29.05.23	Ivan Gakhov - Raphael Collignon	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Ivan Gakhov - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.06.19	Ivan Gakhov - Pavel Kotov	1:2

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