Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday


	Pavel Kotov		Oscar Otte

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.12	1.72
	2.12	1.73
	2.09	1.79
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.39)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
44.9%

Oscar Otte
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.

Oscar Otte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oscar Otte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oscar Otte than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oscar Otte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.5%	0%	65.5%

Pavel Kotov - Oscar Otte Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). Otte will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Otte: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Oscar Otte
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Fabio Fognini - Oscar Otte	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
20.04.23	Flavio Cobolli - Oscar Otte	2:1 ✺
18.04.23	Oscar Otte - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Luca Nardi - Oscar Otte	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?LWLW

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