Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Koblenz 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	14:50	Veikkaus TV


	Pavel Kotov		Max Hans Rehberg

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.83	2.06
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.77	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.6)	1.98 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
52.9%

Max Hans Rehberg
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Max Hans Rehberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Hans Rehberg than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Max Hans Rehberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pavel Kotov - Max Hans Rehberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Rehberg will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Max Hans Rehberg will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 470. Rehberg is ranked ATP: 532.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Kotov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.77%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Max Hans Rehberg - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Zdenek Kolar - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Pavel Kotov - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Mark Lajal - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Pavel Kotov - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Max Hans Rehberg
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Liam Gavrielides	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Oskari Paldanius	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Hans Rehberg
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Stefan Kozlov	✺

Pavel Kotov - Max Hans Rehberg