Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Koblenz 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:40	Veikkaus TV


	Zdenek Kolar		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.49
	2.52	1.57
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.06)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
37.4%

Pavel Kotov
62.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zdenek Kolar's form might have worsened.

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Kotov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Zdenek Kolar - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Kotov (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kolar is ranked ATP: 181. Kotov is ranked ATP: 470.

Kolar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kotov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kotov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kotov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Kotov will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kolar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Zdenek Kolar - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Zdenek Kolar - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Pavel Kotov - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Mark Lajal - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Pavel Kotov - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.01.19	Pavel Kotov - Zdenek Kolar	2:1

Zdenek Kolar - Pavel Kotov