Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quimper 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mark Lajal		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.63	2.36
	1.65	2.13	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.52	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)	2.35 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
60.2%

Pavel Kotov
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Mark Lajal - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lajal will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajal (votes: 3 - 60%). Kotov (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 153. Kotov is ranked ATP: 485.

In recent matches, Lajal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lajal could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Pavel Kotov - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
21.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Mark Lajal - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Mark Lajal - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mark Lajal - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Mark Lajal - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Pavel Kotov - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Pavel Kotov - Jie Cui	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Pavel Kotov - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL

Mark Lajal - Pavel Kotov