Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Catania - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Catania 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Pavel Lagutin		Ignacio Parisca

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	2.90
	1.34	2.95
	1.34	2.98	Watch
	1.34	2.99
	1.30	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
69.1%

Ignacio Parisca
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ignacio Parisca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Parisca than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pavel Lagutin - Ignacio Parisca Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lagutin will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lagutin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 410., and Parisca is ranked ATP: 650..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Lagutin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lagutin has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Iliyan Radulov - Pavel Lagutin	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Svyatoslav Gulin	Gulin S. Retired ✺
20.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pavel Lagutin	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 L?WLW
- Ignacio Parisca
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Filippo Moroni - Ignacio Parisca	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Ignacio Parisca - Gabriel Ghetu	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Franco Agamenone - Ignacio Parisca	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Ivan Gakhov - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Ignacio Parisca - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.07.26	Pavel Lagutin - Ignacio Parisca	2:0
23.07.26	Ignacio Parisca - Pavel Lagutin	Parisca I. Retired

Pavel Lagutin - Ignacio Parisca