Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Biella 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Pavel Lagutin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.56	2.38
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.19
	1.60	2.20	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	2.17 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
57.1%

Pavel Lagutin
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pavel Lagutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Pavel Lagutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lagutin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 240. Lagutin is ranked ATP: 432.

Recent performances by Moro Canas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lagutin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lagutin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.23%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Petr Brunclik - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Pedro Vives Marcos - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Matthieu Roehrich	2:0
10.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pavel Lagutin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

Alejandro Moro Canas - Pavel Lagutin