Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Pavel Lagutin		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.40
	2.85	1.40	Watch
	2.88	1.46
	2.67	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.24)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
34.3%

Max Alcala Gurri
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavel Lagutin's form might have worsened.

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Max Alcala Gurri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pavel Lagutin - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lagutin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 474. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 177.

Lagutin is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alcala Gurri has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alcala Gurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alcala Gurri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Lagutin will win today's game, with odds of 2.77.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pavel Lagutin	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Pavel Lagutin	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.08.26	Pavel Lagutin - Goncalo Marques	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Rodrigo Fernandes - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Facundo Mena - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Sean Cuenin - Max Alcala Gurri	Cuenin S. Retired ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Zsombor Piros - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WL?LL

Pavel Lagutin - Max Alcala Gurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide