Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Pavel Lagutin

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.90
	1.37	2.7	Watch
	1.44	3.05
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	2.85 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
67.2%

Pavel Lagutin
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pavel Lagutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Vilius Gaubas - Pavel Lagutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lagutin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 121. Lagutin is ranked ATP: 474.

Gaubas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lagutin is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gaubas is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Pavel Lagutin	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.08.26	Pavel Lagutin - Goncalo Marques	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Rodrigo Fernandes - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Pavel Lagutin - Mathieu Scaglia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

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