Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Idanha-a-Nova, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Pavel Lagutin		Rafael Izquierdo Luque

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.60
	1.42	2.65
	1.48	2.69
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.46	2.65
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)	2.63 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
64.6%

Rafael Izquierdo Luque
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Lagutin's performance.

Rafael Izquierdo Luque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rafael Izquierdo Luque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Lagutin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Izquierdo Luque than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rafael Izquierdo Luque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pavel Lagutin - Rafael Izquierdo Luque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 562. Izquierdo Luque is ranked ATP: 722.

Lagutin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Izquierdo Luque's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Izquierdo Luque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lagutin could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Pavel Lagutin - Rodrigo Fernandes	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pavel Lagutin	Gonzalez Fernandez M. Walkover ✺
02.08.26	Pavel Lagutin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Pavel Lagutin - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W?WWW
- Rafael Izquierdo Luque
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Matias Reyniak - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Pablo Perez Ramos	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Goncalo Da Rosa Castro	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Joao Dinis Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW

Pavel Lagutin - Rafael Izquierdo Luque: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide