Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Pawit Sornlaksup		Takuya Kumasaka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.98	1.86
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.03	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pawit Sornlaksup
47.3%

Takuya Kumasaka
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pawit Sornlaksup has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pawit Sornlaksup's performance.

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Takuya Kumasaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pawit Sornlaksup than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pawit Sornlaksup that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Takuya Kumasaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pawit Sornlaksup - Takuya Kumasaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kumasaka will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sornlaksup is ranked ATP: 626. Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 541.

In recent matches, Sornlaksup has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kumasaka has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sornlaksup may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kumasaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Takuya Kumasaka - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.58%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pawit Sornlaksup
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Pawit Sornlaksup - M Rifqi Fitriadi	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Jie Cui - Pawit Sornlaksup	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Koki Matsuda - Pawit Sornlaksup	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - Pawit Sornlaksup	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Pawit Sornlaksup - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLLWW
- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Ji Sung Nam	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Takuya Kumasaka	Mitsui S. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Mert Alkaya - Takuya Kumasaka	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LL?L?

Pawit Sornlaksup - Takuya Kumasaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide