Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Fajing Sun		Takuya Kumasaka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.4	3.06
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	2.97 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
68.6%

Takuya Kumasaka
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Takuya Kumasaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 264. Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 478.

Sun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kumasaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kumasaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sun is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Fajing Sun - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Fajing Sun - Chase Ferguson	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Fajing Sun - Aaron Gabet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Fajing Sun - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Takuya Kumasaka	Mitsui S. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Mert Alkaya - Takuya Kumasaka	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?L?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.05.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Fajing Sun	0:2

Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide