Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 20, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Pedro Araujo		Lucas Marionneau

	1	2
	1.44	2.54
	1.47	2.54
	1.47	2.57	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)	2.53 ↓ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Araujo
63.2%

Lucas Marionneau
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Araujo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Araujo's form might have worsened.

Lucas Marionneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Marionneau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Araujo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Araujo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Marionneau than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Marionneau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pedro Araujo - Lucas Marionneau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Araujo is ranked ATP: 441. Marionneau is ranked ATP: 958.

Araujo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Marionneau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marionneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Araujo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Araujo
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Pedro Araujo - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Pedro Araujo - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Pedro Araujo - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Pedro Araujo - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Pedro Araujo - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lucas Marionneau
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Lucas Marionneau - Alex Knaff	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Lucas Marionneau - Nicolas Robert	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Miles Jones - Lucas Marionneau	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Lucas Marionneau - Daniel Domingos	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Lucas Marionneau - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

Pedro Araujo - Lucas Marionneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide