Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Pedro Boscardin Dias		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.72	2
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.74
	2.07	1.73	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.66)	1.79 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Boscardin Dias
47.5%

Gianluca Mager
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Boscardin Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Boscardin Dias's form might have worsened.

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Mager's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Boscardin Dias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Boscardin Dias will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Mager will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boscardin Dias: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boscardin Dias (votes: 2 - 40%). Mager (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boscardin Dias is ranked ATP: 398. Mager is ranked ATP: 451.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Mager may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Jose Pereira - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWLW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Gianluca Mager - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Gianluca Mager - Conner Huertas Del Pino	Mager G. retired ✺
27.04.25	Gianluca Mager - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	Barreiros Reyes M. retired ✺
20.04.25	Elias Ymer - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Jacopo Vasami - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 W??LL

Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide