Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Pedro Boscardin Dias		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.88	1.40	Watch
	3.07	1.41
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.4)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Boscardin Dias
32.2%

Jan Choinski
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Boscardin Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Pedro Boscardin Dias - Jan Choinski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boscardin Dias is ranked ATP: 241. Choinski is ranked ATP: 105.

Boscardin Dias is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Choinski has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boscardin Dias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Choinski is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Pedro Boscardin Dias	Watanuki Y. Retired ✺
26.05.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Federico Cina - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Norbert Gombos - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Jan Choinski - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Jan Choinski - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Herbert P. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLW?

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