Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Court Suzanne-Lenglen (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1, France 4
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1


	Jan Choinski		Pierre-Hugues Herbert

	1	2
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.7
	1.48	2.72
	1.45	2.69	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.46)	2.69 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
65%

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Jan Choinski - Pierre Hugues Herbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 104. Herbert is ranked ATP: 223.

Choinski has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Herbert has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Herbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Choinski could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Choinski will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.91%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Jan Choinski - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Jan Choinski - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Jan Choinski - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Jan Choinski - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Jan Choinski - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWW
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Sumit Nagal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jan Choinski	1:2

Jan Choinski - Pierre-Hugues Herbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide