Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday


	Jan Choinski		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1
	1.73	2.21
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.44)	2.12 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
55.8%

Tom Gentzsch
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tom Gentzsch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tom Gentzsch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jan Choinski - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gentzsch will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 101. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 228.

Choinski has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gentzsch's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Choinski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Choinski will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Jan Choinski - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Herbert P. Walkover ✺
19.05.26	Jan Choinski - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Jan Choinski - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Jan Choinski - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Jan Choinski - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 ?WWWW
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
25.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Tom Gentzsch	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.26	Tom Gentzsch - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Jerome Kym - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 ?LWWL

Jan Choinski - Tom Gentzsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide