Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Pedro Boscardin Dias		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.67	2.16	Watch
	1.78	2.19
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.36)	2.1 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Boscardin Dias
55.1%

Samuele Pieri
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Boscardin Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pedro Boscardin Dias's performance.

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuele Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Boscardin Dias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuele Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pedro Boscardin Dias - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boscardin Dias (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Boscardin Dias is ranked ATP: 256. Pieri is ranked ATP: 400.

Boscardin Dias has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pieri has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Boscardin Dias - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Moritz Kudernatsch - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL

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