Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Girona (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Pedro Cachin		Pablo Carreno-Busta

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Pedro Cachin
30%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
70%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Cachin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Cachin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Cachin is ranked ATP: 286. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 109.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Cachin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cachin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Cachin
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Pedro Cachin - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Adrian Andreev - Pedro Cachin	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Borna Coric - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Pedro Cachin - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Gregoire Barrere - Pedro Cachin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Ivan Gakhov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Quentin Halys - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Zachary Svajda - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Filip Misolic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pedro Cachin	3:0
ATP Cordoba
06.02.19	Pedro Cachin - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Carreno-Busta P. retired
ATP Challenger
12.09.15	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pedro Cachin	0:2

Pedro Cachin - Pablo Carreno-Busta