Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Quentin Halys		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.6	1.55
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.21	1.69	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.11)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quentin Halys
40.4%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Quentin Halys - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Halys will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Halys: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Halys is ranked ATP: 59. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 112.

Now both players are in good shape.

Halys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carreno Busta will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Carreno Busta to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quentin Halys
ATP Dubai
28.02.25	Quentin Halys - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
27.02.25	Luca Nardi - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Quentin Halys - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Quentin Halys - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Zachary Svajda - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Filip Misolic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Shelbayh A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWW?

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