Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Alexis Galarneau		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.36
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.12	1.38
	3.09	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.11	1.37	Watch
	3.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.22)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
30.7%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 163. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 112.

Galarneau is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Enzo Couacaud	Canceled ✺
22.02.25	Brandon Holt - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Valentin Vacherot - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Michael Geerts - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 W?LWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Zachary Svajda - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Filip Misolic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Shelbayh A. retired ✺
12.02.25	Antoine Escoffier - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Carreno-Busta P. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWW??

Upcoming Matches