Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)


	Pavel Kotov		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.82	1.95	Watch
	1.87	2
	1.88	2.01
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.84	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	1.98 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
51.9%

Sebastian Ofner
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Ofner will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Marrakech
06.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
03.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Elliot Benchetrit	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Alexander Zverev - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Daniel Evans - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Sebastian Ofner - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
25.08.22	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner	2:0
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.22	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner	0:2

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