Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Daniel Elahi Galan

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.66	2.31
	1.6	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
60.2%

Daniel Elahi Galan
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Galan will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 45. Galan is ranked ATP: 127.

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galan is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Galan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martinez Portero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martinez Portero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
11.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL
- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
11.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP San Diego
22.09.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1

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