Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Jakub Mensik		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.39	3	Watch
	1.42	3.05
	1.42	2.96	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.37	3.11	Watch
	1.39	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
68.4%

Pedro Martinez Portero
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jakub Mensik - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 66. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 42.

Recent matches Mensik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martinez Portero is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mensik is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Hugo Gaston - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jakub Mensik - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.24	Nuno Borges - Jakub Mensik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

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