Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 November 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: VALENCIA (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Denis Yevseyev		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.1	1.2
	3.6	1.25
	4.2	1.2	Watch
	4.4	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (2.65)	1.2 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
21.9%

Pedro Martinez Portero
78.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Yevseyev is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Martinez Portero is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Martinez Portero is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Martinez Portero to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Denis Yevseyev - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
20.11.23	Denis Yevseyev - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Denis Yevseyev - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
16.11.23	Denis Yevseyev - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	Denis Yevseyev - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Zsombor Piros - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
26.10.23	Radu Albot - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWW

Denis Yevseyev - Pedro Martinez Portero

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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