Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Marko Topo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.10	Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.59	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.41)	2.19 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
57.6%

Marko Topo
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marko Topo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marko Topo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Topo will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Topo: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez Portero (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Topo (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 67. Topo is ranked ATP: 282.

Martinez Portero is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Topo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.69%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	David Goffin - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Marko Topo - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Marko Topo - Janis Graski	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Marko Topo - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Marko Topo - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Marko Topo - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

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