Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leandro Riedi		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.52
	1.56	2.41	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.59	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.38)	2.34 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
59.4%

Pedro Martinez Portero
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leandro Riedi's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leandro Riedi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.5%	0%	26.5%

Leandro Riedi - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Riedi will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riedi: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Riedi (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leandro Riedi will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Riedi (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Martinez Portero (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Riedi is ranked ATP: 436. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 64.

Riedi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Martinez Portero has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Otto Virtanen - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Luka Pavlovic - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Learner Tien - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	David Goffin - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL

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