Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Pedro Sousa		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.37	1.5
	2.45	1.56
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.53	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.31)	1.52 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Sousa
38.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena
61.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Pedro Sousa - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Sousa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carballes Baena will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Sousa
ATP Challenger
19.11.20	Pedro Sousa - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
17.11.20	Pedro Sousa - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.20	Stefano Travaglia - Pedro Sousa	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.10.20	Alexandre Muller - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Jaume Munar - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
19.11.20	Renzo Olivo - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
17.11.20	Hernan Casanova - Roberto Carballes Baena	Casanova H. retired ✺
ATP Sofia
10.11.20	Roberto Carballes Baena - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.20	Roberto Carballes Baena - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.10.20	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 W?LLL

Pedro Sousa - Roberto Carballes Baena

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Pedro Sousa - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Preview

Form

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