Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.31	1.66
	1.95	1.80	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.23)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
43.6%

Vit Kopriva
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Kopriva will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 110. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 102.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Kopriva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Kopriva will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Roberto Carballes Baena - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.7%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Vit Kopriva - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.3%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Hynek Barton - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Sandro Kopp - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Dennis Novak - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWW?L
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	Canceled
07.10.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	0:2
ATP Belgrade 2
23.05.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	2:0
ATP Challenger
02.12.20	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	2:1
27.10.20	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	0:2

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