Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kosice - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Peter Fajta		Luca Wiedenmann

	1	2
	1.72	2.1
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.69	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.06)	2.04 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peter Fajta
54.4%

Luca Wiedenmann
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peter Fajta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peter Fajta's performance.

Luca Wiedenmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Wiedenmann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peter Fajta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peter Fajta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Wiedenmann than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Wiedenmann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Peter Fajta - Luca Wiedenmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fajta will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wiedenmann will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wiedenmann (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fajta is ranked ATP: 553. Wiedenmann is ranked ATP: 639.

Fajta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wiedenmann is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wiedenmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Wiedenmann will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peter Fajta
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Peter Fajta - Tomas Lanik	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.05.26	Peter Fajta - Calvin Mueller	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Peter Fajta - Manuel Plunger	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Matthias Ujvary - Peter Fajta	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Peter Fajta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- Luca Wiedenmann
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Dominik Macej - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Maxime Chazal - Luca Wiedenmann	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Jan Simonsson - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Jack Karlsson Wistrand - Luca Wiedenmann	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

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