Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday


	Peter Gojowczyk		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	5	1.16
	5.3	1.17	Watch
	5.2	1.14
	5.8	1.16
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	5.55	1.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.07)	1.16 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peter Gojowczyk
18.1%

Tommy Paul
81.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peter Gojowczyk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peter Gojowczyk's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peter Gojowczyk than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peter Gojowczyk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Peter Gojowczyk - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peter Gojowczyk
ATP Miami
22.03.22	Peter Gojowczyk - Emilio Gomez	1:2 ✺
21.03.22	Peter Gojowczyk - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.22	Cameron Norrie - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
23.02.22	Peter Gojowczyk - Alexander Zverev	Gojowczyk P. walkover ✺
21.02.22	Brandon Nakashima - Peter Gojowczyk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 LWL?W
- Tommy Paul
ATP Miami
28.03.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Tommy Paul - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
24.03.22	Tommy Paul - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.22	Alex De Minaur - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Tommy Paul - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWLW

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