Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tommy Paul		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	2.02	1.79	Watch
	1.95	1.8
	1.99	1.92
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.35)	1.82 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
47.8%

Karen Khachanov
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karen Khachanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Tommy Paul - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 42 - 82.4%). Khachanov will win (votes: 9 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 71.9% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Khachanov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Miami
24.03.22	Tommy Paul - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.22	Alex De Minaur - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Tommy Paul - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
11.03.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
10.03.22	Grigor Dimitrov - Tommy Paul	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWW?
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.22	Karen Khachanov - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.22	Novak Djokovic - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.22	Karen Khachanov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
17.02.22	Karen Khachanov - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Tommy Paul - Karen Khachanov