Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Guiyang, hard - Final

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Petr Bar-Biryukov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.97
	1.99	1.69	Watch
	1.78	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.77)	1.86 ↓ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
50%

Petr Bar-Biryukov
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Petr Bar-Biryukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Luca Castelnuovo - Petr Bar Biryukov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465. Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 327.

In recent matches, Castelnuovo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bar-Biryukov is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Omar Jasika - Luca Castelnuovo	Jasika O. retired ✺
18.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Kuan-Yi Lee	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Yuquan Jin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Marat Sharipov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WWWL
- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Akira Santillan	Bar Biryukov P. walkover ✺
18.09.25	Chase Ferguson - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Stefan Vujic - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Bar Biryukov P. retired ✺
09.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 ?WW?W

Luca Castelnuovo - Petr Bar-Biryukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide