Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Miguel Damas		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.22	1.68
	2.81	1.39	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.54	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.87)	1.58 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
40.2%

Lilian Marmousez
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Damas's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Damas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Miguel Damas - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Marmousez will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damas: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Damas (votes: 2 - 50%). Marmousez (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 Games - Damas (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Damas (votes: 3 - 60%). Marmousez (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 328. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 355.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Damas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marmousez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Lilian Marmousez - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Miguel Damas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Miguel Damas - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLW
- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Henri Squire - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

Miguel Damas - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide