Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Petr Bar-Biryukov		Naoya Honda

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.85
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.40	3.00
	1.40	2.73	Watch
	1.40	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)	2.75 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Petr Bar-Biryukov
66.2%

Naoya Honda
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Bar-Biryukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petr Bar-Biryukov's performance.

Naoya Honda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naoya Honda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Petr Bar Biryukov - Naoya Honda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bar-Biryukov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Honda will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Honda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Honda (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Honda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 299. Honda is ranked ATP: 656.

Recent form of Bar-Biryukov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Honda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bar-Biryukov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bar-Biryukov could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Bar-Biryukov - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Jesse Delaney - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Qian Sun - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Kokoro Isomura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Naoya Honda
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Naoya Honda - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
14.09.26	Naoya Honda - Jesse Flores	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Naoya Honda - Hao Duan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.09.26	Ryota Tanuma - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Naoya Honda - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WWLL

Petr Bar-Biryukov - Naoya Honda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide