Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Petr Brunclik		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.82
	1.44	2.58
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	2.59 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Brunclik
63.8%

Joel Schwaerzler
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Brunclik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petr Brunclik's performance.

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joel Schwaerzler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Brunclik than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petr Brunclik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joel Schwaerzler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brunclik will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brunclik is ranked ATP: 288. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242.

Brunclik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Schwaerzler has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brunclik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Brunclik - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Brunclik
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Petr Brunclik - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Petr Brunclik - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Ivan Gakhov - Petr Brunclik	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Niels Visker - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	David Goffin - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Vadym Ursu - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Boys Singles French Open
06.06.24	Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2

Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide