Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Petr Nesterov		Federico Iannaccone

	1	2
	1.65	2.11
	1.62	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
56.2%

Federico Iannaccone
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Federico Iannaccone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Petr Nesterov - Federico Iannaccone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 428. Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 602.

Nesterov is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Iannaccone's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Iannaccone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nesterov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Iannaccone - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.7%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Pierluigi Basile	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Luis Guto Miguel	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Kasra Rahmani - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW
- Federico Iannaccone
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Federico Iannaccone - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Alessandro Pecci - Federico Iannaccone	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Federico Iannaccone	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Federico Iannaccone - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Federico Iannaccone - Petr Nesterov	1:2

Upcoming Matches