Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Petr Nesterov		Luis Guto Miguel

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.89	1.93
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.51)	1.87 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
50.3%

Luis Guto Miguel
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petr Nesterov's form might have worsened.

Luis Guto Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luis Guto Miguel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Guto Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Petr Nesterov - Luis Guto Miguel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nesterov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 428. Miguel is ranked ATP: 1036.

Nesterov has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Miguel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Miguel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nesterov could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Kasra Rahmani - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Luis Guto Miguel
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Luis Guto Miguel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Luis Guto Miguel	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWW

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