Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 6, clay - Final

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Arthur Nagel		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
			Watch
	2.42	1.58
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.16)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
40.2%

Petr Nesterov
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Nagel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arthur Nagel - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 467. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 428.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Nesterov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nesterov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Lorenzo Comino - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Luca Castagnola - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Kasra Rahmani - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	John Echeverria - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Arthur Nagel - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide