Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Petr Nesterov		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.78
			Watch
	1.94	1.84
			Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.88)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
48.7%

Max Alcala Gurri
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Petr Nesterov - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nesterov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nesterov (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Alcala Gurri (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 456. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 385.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nesterov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
22.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Johan Nikles	Nikles J. retired ✺
18.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Jonas Forejtek - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WL?WL
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
22.06.25	Luca Castagnola - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Louis Dussin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Tomas Curras Abasolo - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL

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