Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday


	Raul Brancaccio		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.36	3.1
			Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.37	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	3.01 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raul Brancaccio
68.8%

Petr Nesterov
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raul Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raul Brancaccio's performance.

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petr Nesterov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raul Brancaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petr Nesterov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 355. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 456.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Brancaccio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brancaccio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brancaccio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Elias Ymer - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Alex Molcan - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.06.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Johan Nikles	Nikles J. retired ✺
18.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Jonas Forejtek - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Jan Klimas - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.01.21	Petr Nesterov - Raul Brancaccio	0:2

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