Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday


	Luca Castagnola		Max Alcala Gurri

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Luca Castagnola
30.2%

Max Alcala Gurri
69.8%

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

26.7%

73.3%

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Castagnola is ranked ATP: 601. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 385.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Alcala Gurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcala Gurri is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Leonardo Primucci - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Luca Castagnola - Lilian Marmousez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Luca Castagnola - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Luca Castagnola - Valentin Basel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLL
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Louis Dussin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Tomas Curras Abasolo - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Iliyan Radulov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Luca Castagnola - Max Alcala Gurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide