Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hersonissos 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Petr Nesterov		Maximus Jones

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.36
	1.54	2.55
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
60.8%

Maximus Jones
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Petr Nesterov - Maximus Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nesterov will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Jones will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 477. Jones is ranked ATP: 314.

In recent matches, Nesterov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jones is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nesterov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nesterov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.32%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Lui Maxted - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL
- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Maximus Jones - Tom Gentzsch	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
08.02.26	Maximus Jones - Marko Mesarovic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Maximus Jones - Yannik Alvarez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Maximus Jones - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Maximus Jones - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ??WLW

Petr Nesterov - Maximus Jones