Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Javier Barranco Cosano		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2.07	1.75
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Javier Barranco Cosano
47.1%

Petr Nesterov
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Javier Barranco Cosano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Javier Barranco Cosano than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Javier Barranco Cosano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Javier Barranco Cosano - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barranco Cosano (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nesterov (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Petr Nesterov will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barranco Cosano is ranked ATP: 374. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 499.

Barranco Cosano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nesterov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barranco Cosano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Javier Barranco Cosano - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.64%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.36%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Javier Barranco Cosano
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Peter Makk	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Matej Dodig - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Michael Mmoh - Javier Barranco Cosano	Mmoh M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLL?
- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Murphy Cassone - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Federico Iannaccone - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW

Javier Barranco Cosano - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide