Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Petra Marcinko		Kaitlin Quevedo

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.54	2.52
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.5	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)	2.6 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Marcinko
63.9%

Kaitlin Quevedo
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Marcinko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Kaitlin Quevedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petra Marcinko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaitlin Quevedo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaitlin Quevedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Petra Marcinko - Kaitlin Quevedo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Marcinko (votes: 3 - 60%). Quevedo (votes: 2 - 40%).

Users Predictions: Petra Marcinko will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcinko is ranked WTA: 125. Quevedo is ranked WTA: 173.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Marcinko is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Marcinko
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Petra Marcinko - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Petra Marcinko - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Astrid Lew Yan Foon - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Margaux Rouvroy - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Kaitlin Quevedo
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Amandine Hesse - Kaitlin Quevedo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Angelina Voloshchuk	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Elza Tomase	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Petra Marcinko - Kaitlin Quevedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide