Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Petra Marcinko		Harmony Tan

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.07	7.44	Watch
	1.32	3.21	Watch
	1.33	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.41)	4.06 ↑ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Marcinko
76.2%

Harmony Tan
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petra Marcinko's performance.

Harmony Tan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harmony Tan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petra Marcinko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harmony Tan than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harmony Tan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Petra Marcinko - Harmony Tan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcinko is ranked WTA: 125. Tan is ranked WTA: 253.

Marcinko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marcinko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marcinko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Marcinko
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Petra Marcinko - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Astrid Lew Yan Foon - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Margaux Rouvroy - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Manon Arcangioli - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW
- Harmony Tan
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Ines Murta - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Mariella Thamm - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Linda Fruhvirtova - Harmony Tan	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Petra Marcinko - Harmony Tan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide