Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Petra Marcinko		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.66	2.17
	1.76	2.21
	1.7	2.11	Watch
	1.71	2.14
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.53)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Marcinko
56.1%

Sofia Kenin
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Marcinko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sofia Kenin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Petra Marcinko - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Marcinko will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Kenin will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marcinko: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcinko is ranked WTA: 51. Kenin is ranked WTA: 104.

Marcinko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kenin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kenin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Sofia Kenin - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Marcinko
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.26	Petra Marcinko - Madison Keys	Marcinko P. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Caty McNally - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Petra Marcinko - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Antonia Ruzic - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Petra Marcinko - Daria Snigur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 ?WWWL
- Sofia Kenin
WTA Eastbourne
20.06.26	Sofia Kenin - Daria Snigur	0:2 ✺
WTA Nottingham
16.06.26	Viktorija Golubic - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Viktorija Golubic - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Sofia Kenin - Elsa Jacquemot	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
24.05.26	Sofia Kenin - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

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