Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Petra Martic		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.61	2.28	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.19)	2.34 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Martic
60%

Maria Lourdes Carle
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Martic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petra Martic's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Martic than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petra Martic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Lourdes Carle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.2%	0%	12.8%

Petra Martic - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: Petra Martic will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martic is ranked WTA: 124. Carle is ranked WTA: 100.

Martic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Martic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Martic
WTA Merida
27.02.25	Emma Navarro - Petra Martic	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Sloane Stephens - Petra Martic	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Petra Martic - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Petra Martic - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Petra Martic - Julia Grabher	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWW?
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Merida
24.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Louisa Chirico - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
13.01.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

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