Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: MIDLAND (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Peyton Stearns		Caty McNally

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.3	1.32
	3.1	1.31
	3.3	1.35
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.26	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.9)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peyton Stearns
28.6%

Caty McNally
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peyton Stearns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Caty McNally has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Peyton Stearns - Caty McNally Predictions

Users Predictions: Caty McNally will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Stearns is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McNally is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stearns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match McNally is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's McNally to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peyton Stearns
ATP Challenger
04.11.22	Peyton Stearns - Katherine Sebov	2:0 ✺
03.11.22	Ashlyn Krueger - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Asia Muhammad - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.22	Emiliana Arango - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
21.10.22	Ashley Lahey - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL
- Caty McNally
ATP Challenger
04.11.22	Caty McNally - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
03.11.22	Caty McNally - Su Jeong Jang	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Caty McNally - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
21.10.22	Maryna Zanevska - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Caty McNally - Misaki Doi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW

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